02691nam a22003017a 4500003000600000005001700006008004100023020003700064020003400101020003600135020003300171040003400204050002300238082001900261100001800280245005000298250001900348264004000367300004000407336002600447337002800473338002700501500001900528504003900547505173900586650001702325650004702342pucpr20241017120357.0090810s2010 dcua bi 001 0 eng  a9781597264723qcloth: alk. paper a1597264725qcloth: alk. paper a9781597264730qpbk.: alk. paper a1597264733qpbk.: alk. paper apucprbengcpucprdpucprerda00aGE45.D37bF67 201000a363.7001/1222 aFord, Andrew.10aModeling The Environment :cAndrew Ford.htxt aSecond edition aWashington ;bIsland Press ,c2010. axviii, 380 p.bill. ;c26 cm.fbook 2rdacontentatextbtxt 2rdamediaaunmediadedbn 2rdacarrieravolumebnc aInclude index. aInclude bibliographical reference. aPreface xi -- Acknowledgments xvii -- Part I. Introductory Modeling : Chapter 1 Introduction 3 -- Chapter 2 Software : Getting Started with Stella and Vensim 17 -- Chapter 3 Stocks and Flows : The Building Blocks of Systems Dynamics Models 31 -- Chapter 4 Accumulating the Flows 39 -- Chapter 5 Water Flows in the Mono Basin 47 -- Chapter 6 Equilibrium Diagrams 65 -- Chapter 7 S-Shaped Growth 77 -- Chapter 8 Epidemic Dynamics 87 -- Chapter 9 Information Feedback and Causal Loop Diagrams 99 -- Chapter 10 Homeostasis 117 -- Chapter 11 Temperature Control on Daisyworld 125 -- Chapter 12 Hitting the Bull's Eye 139 -- Part II Intermediate Modeling -- Chapter 13 The Modeling Process 149 -- Chapter 14 Software: Further Progress with Stella and Vensim 169 -- Chapter 15 The Salmon of the Pacific Northwest 189 -- Chapter 16 Managing a Feebate Program for Cleaner Vehicles 209 -- Chapter 17 Modeling Pitfalls 223 -- Chapter 18 Introduction to Cyclical Behavior 235 -- Chapter 19 Cycles in Real Estate Construction 245 -- Chapter 20 Cycles in Predator and Prey Populations 255 -- Chapter 21 The Overshoot of the Kaibab Deer Population 267 -- Chapter 22 DDT in the Ocean 289 -- Chapter 23 CO2 in the Atmosphere 295 -- Chapter 24 Concluding Perspective 305 -- Appendixes Review and Advanced Methods -- Appendix A. Review of Units 317 -- Appendix B. Review of Exponential Growth 323 -- Appendix C. Software Choices and Individual Based Models 329 -- Appendix D. Sensitivity Analysis and Uncertainty 341 -- Appendix E. Incorporating Other Methods in a System Dynamics Model 349 -- Appendix F. Short Run and Long Run Dynamics in a Single Model 353 -- Appendix G. Spatial Dynamics and Spatial Displays 359 -- References 367 -- Index 375 --  0aArchitecture 0aEnvironmental sciences2Simulation methods