Catastrophe risk and response Richard A. Posner.
Detalles de publicación: New York Oxford University Press 2004.Descripción: x, 322 p. ill. 24 cmISBN:- 0195178130
- 9780195178135
- 363.34 22
- HV 551.2 .P675 2004
| Imagen de cubierta | Tipo de ítem | Biblioteca actual | Biblioteca de origen | Colección | Ubicación en estantería | Signatura topográfica | Materiales especificados | Info Vol | URL | Copia número | Estado | Notas | Fecha de vencimiento | Código de barras | Reserva de ítems | Prioridad de la cola de reserva de ejemplar | Reservas para cursos | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libro | Biblioteca de Derecho Mons. Fremiot Torres Oliver Colección General biblioteca derecho | HV 551 .2 .P675 2004 (Navegar estantería(Abre debajo)) | Disponible | 70000000833611 |
Descripciones mejoradas de Syndetics:
Catastrophes, whether natural or man-made, that could destroy the human race are often dismissed as alarmist or fanciful, the stuff of science fiction. In fact the risk of such disasters is real, and growing. A collision with an asteroid that might kill a quarter of humanity in 24 hours and the rest soon after; irreversible global warming that might flip, precipitating "snowball earth;" voraciously replicating nanomachines; a catastrophic accident in a particle accelerator that might reduce the earth to a hyperdense sphere 100 meters across; a pandemic of gene-spliced smallpox launched by bioterrorists; even conquest by superintelligent robots-all these potential extinction events, and others, are within the realm of the possible and warrant serious thought about assessment and prevention. They are attracting the concern of reputable scientists--but not of the general public or the nation's policymakers. How should the nation and the world respond to disaster possibilities that, for a variety of psychological and cultural reasons, people find it hard to wrap their minds around? Richard Posner shows that what is needed is a fresh, thoroughly interdisciplinary perspective that will meld the insights of lawyers, economists, psychologists, and other social scientists with those of the physical sciences. Responsibility for averting catastrophe cannot be left either to scientists or to politicians and other policymakers ignorant of science. As in many of his previous books, Posner brings law and the social sciences to bear on a contemporary problem-in this case one of particular urgency. Weighing the risk and the possible responses in each case, Posner shows us what to worry about and what to dismiss, and discusses concrete ways of minimizing the most dangerous risks. Must we yield a degree of national sovereignty in order to deal effectively with global warming? Are limitations on our civil liberties a necessary and proper response to the danger of bioterror attacks? Would investing more heavily in detection and interception systems for menacing asteroids be money well-spent? How far can we press cost-benefit analysis in the design of responses to world-threatening events? Should the institutional framework of science policy be altered? we need educational reform? Is the interface of law and science awry? These are but a few of the issues canvassed in this fascinating, disturbing, and necessary book.
Includes bibliographical references (p. 267-314) and index.
What are the catastrophic risks, and how catastrophic are they? -- Why so little is being done about the catastrophic risks -- How to evaluate the catastrophic risks and the possible responses to them -- How to reduce the catastrophic risks.
Tabla de contenidos provista por Syndetics
- Introduction
- What is catastrophe?
- The organization of this book
- Some useful disctinctions
- 1 What are the catastrohpic risks, and how catastrophic are they?
- Natural catastrophes
- Scientific accidents
- Other unintended man-made catastrophes
- Intentional catastrophes
- Catastrophic synergies and lesser-included catastrophes
- 2 Why so little is being done about the catastrophic risks
- Cultural factors
- Psychological factors
- Economic factors
- 3 How to evaluate the catastrophic risks and the possible responses to them
- The difference cost-benefit analysis can make: the case of RHIC
- A modest version of the precautionary principle
- Discounting to present value
- Taxes, subsidies, and options: the case of global warming
- Valuing human lives
- Risk versus uncertainty
- Coping with uncertainty
- Politics, expertise, and neutrality: RHIC revisited
- Summary
- 4 How to reduce the catastrophic risks
- Institutional reforms
- Fiscal tools: a recap
- Some hypothetical regulatory policies
- Conclusion
- Notes
- Index