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Mapping the global future report of the National Intelligence Council's 2020 Project, based on consultations with nongovernmental experts around the world.
Detalles de publicación: [Washington, D.C.] National Intelligence Council : [Supt. of Docs., U.S. G.P.O., distributor 2004]Descripción: 120 p. : col. ill., col. maps ; 28 cm. + 1 CD-ROMISBN:- 0160732182
- Report of the National Intelligence Council's 2020 Project
Recursos en línea:
Formatos físicos adicionales disponibles: - Also available via Internet from the CIA web site. Address as of 2/3/05: http://www.foia.cia.gov/2020/2020.pdf; current access is available via PURL.
| Imagen de cubierta | Tipo de ítem | Biblioteca actual | Biblioteca de origen | Colección | Ubicación en estantería | Signatura topográfica | Materiales especificados | Info Vol | URL | Copia número | Estado | Notas | Fecha de vencimiento | Código de barras | Reserva de ítems | Prioridad de la cola de reserva de ejemplar | Reservas para cursos | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Referencia | Biblioteca Encarnación Valdés Sala de Referencia bev | R 353.1224 M2976 (Navegar estantería(Abre debajo)) | 2004 | Disponible | 80000002253493 | |||||||||||||
| Referencia | Biblioteca Encarnación Valdés Sala de Referencia bev | 353.1224 M2976 (Navegar estantería(Abre debajo)) | Disponible | CD | 80000002256835 |
Total de reservas: 0
Descripciones mejoradas de Syndetics:
Takes a long-term view of the future. Offers a fresh look at how key global trends might develop over the next decade and a half to influence world events. Offers a range of possibilities and potential discontinuities. Builds upon methods used to develop two earlier studies, Global Trends 2010 and Global Trends 2015. Employs a wide variety of innovative methodologies and approaches, including extensive consultations with a wide range of governmental and non-governmental experts. Includes a CD-ROM in a pocket which contains the entire text of the report. National Intelligence Council 2004-13.
Shipping list no.: 2005-0076-P.
"December 2004."
Accompanying CD-ROM contains complete text in PDF format.
Also available via Internet from the CIA web site. Address as of 2/3/05: http://www.foia.cia.gov/2020/2020.pdf; current access is available via PURL.
"NIC 2004-13."
Tabla de contenidos provista por Syndetics
- Executive Summary(p. 9)
- Methodology(p. 19)
- Introduction(p. 25)
- The Contradictions of Globalization(p. 27)
- An Expanding and Integrating Global Economy(p. 29)
- The Technology Revolution(p. 34)
- Lingering Social Inequalities(p. 37)
- Fictional Scenario: Davos World(p. 40)
- Rising Powers: The Changing Geopolitical Landscape(p. 47)
- Rising Asia(p. 48)
- Other Rising States?(p. 51)
- The "Aging" Powers(p. 56)
- Growing Demands for Energy(p. 59)
- US Unipolarity--How Long Can It Last?(p. 63)
- Fictional Scenario: Pax Americana(p. 64)
- New Challenges to Governance(p. 73)
- Halting Progress on Democratization(p. 73)
- Identity Politics(p. 79)
- Fictional Scenario: A New Caliphate(p. 83)
- Pervasive Insecurity(p. 93)
- Transmuting International Terrorism(p. 93)
- Intensifying Internal Conflicts(p. 97)
- Rising Powers: Tinder for Conflict?(p. 98)
- The WMD Factor(p. 100)
- Fictional Scenario: Cycle of Fear(p. 104)
- Policy Implications(p. 111)
- Graphics and Tables
- China's and India's Per Capita GDPs Rising Against US(p. 31)
- When China's and India's GDPs Would Exceed Today's Rich Countries(p. 32)
- Telescoping the Population of the World to 2020(p. 48)
- China's Rise(p. 50)
- Projected Rise in Defense Spending, 2003-2025(p. 51)
- Fossil Fuels Will Continue to Dominate in 2020(p. 59)
- An Expanding European Union(p. 60)
- Number of Religious Adherents, 1900-2025(p. 80)
- Key Areas of Radical Islamic Activities Since 1992(p. 82)
- EU: Estimated and Projected Muslim Population, 1985-2025(p. 83)
- Global Trends in Internal Conflict, 1990-2003(p. 101)
- Special Topics
- The 2020 Global Landscape(p. 8)
- Mapping the Global Future(p. 26)
- What Would an Asian Face on Globalization Look Like?(p. 28)
- What Could Derail Globalization?(p. 30)
- Biotechnology:Panacea and Weapon(p. 36)
- The Status of Women in 2020(p. 38)
- Risks to Chinese Economic Growth(p. 52)
- India vs. China:Long-Term Prospects(p. 53)
- Asia: The Cockpit for Global Change?(p. 55)
- Global Aging and Migration(p. 58)
- Could Europe Become A Superpower?(p. 61)
- The Geopolitics of Gas(p. 62)
- Eurasian Countries: Going Their Separate Ways?(p. 74)
- Climate Change and Its Implications Through 2020(p. 76)
- Latin America in 2020: Will Globalization Cause the Region to Split?(p. 78)
- Organized Crime(p. 96)
- Cyber Warfare?(p. 97)
- How Can Sub-Saharan Africa Move Forward?(p. 99)
- International Institutions in Crisis(p. 102)
- The Rules of War: Entering "No Man's Land"(p. 103)
- Post-Combat Environments Pose the Biggest Challenge(p. 104)
- Is the United States' Technological Prowess at Risk?(p. 112)